| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | CHLK | +116.7¢ | 16.7% | 14.6% | wc-2026-winner | $7.4M | ↗ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | −179.5¢ | 20.5% | 2.9% | us-iran-peace | $690k | ↗ |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | MEX | −179.5¢ | 20.5% | 6.0% | us-iran-peace | $690k | ↗ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | DOOM | +117.5¢ | 17.5% | 4.3% | iran-escalation | $587k | ↗ |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | MEX | +117.5¢ | 17.5% | 7.6% | us-iran-war | $587k | ↗ |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | DOOM | +14.0¢ | 4.0% | 3.1% | pandemics | $525k | ↗ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | DOOM | +16.5¢ | 6.5% | 4.6% | taiwan-conflict | $512k | ↗ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | DOOM | +112.5¢ | 12.5% | 3.5% | iran-regime | $373k | ↗ |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | MEX | +112.5¢ | 12.5% | 6.8% | iran-regime | $373k | ↗ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | TRMP | −182.5¢ | 17.5% | 20.0% | midterms-2026 | $312k | ↗ |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | PUTX | −19.5¢ | 90.5% | 15.0% | putin-tenure | $302k | ↗ |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | WOKE | −13.0¢ | 97.0% | 15.0% | us-presidency-2028-anti-woke | $284k | ↗ |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | CHLK | +181.0¢ | 81.0% | 15.0% | nba-2026-finals | $258k | ↗ |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | WOKE | +123.1¢ | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2028-democratic-nomination | $219k | ↗ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | DOOM | −183.5¢ | 16.5% | 1.4% | hormuz-shipping | $218k | ↗ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | MEX | −183.5¢ | 16.5% | 3.5% | hormuz-traffic | $218k | ↗ |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | WOKE | −16.5¢ | 93.5% | 15.0% | 2028-us-presidential-election-gop | $211k | ↗ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | DOOM | −149.5¢ | 50.5% | 1.4% | hormuz-shipping | $163k | ↗ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | MEX | −149.5¢ | 50.5% | 3.5% | hormuz-traffic | $163k | ↗ |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | WOKE | −18.6¢ | 91.4% | 15.0% | ca-governor-election-2026 | $159k | ↗ |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | CHLK | −13.8¢ | 96.3% | 15.0% | nfl-2027-title | $158k | ↗ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | +19.5¢ | 9.5% | 1.6% | russia-ukraine | $149k | ↗ |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | PUTX | −19.5¢ | 90.5% | 14.3% | ukraine-territory | $149k | ↗ |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | DOOM | +17.5¢ | 7.5% | 3.1% | pandemics | $147k | ↗ |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | PUTX | +157.5¢ | 57.5% | 15.0% | russia-duma-election | $137k | ↗ |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | CHLK | +179.5¢ | 79.5% | 15.0% | nhl-2026-cup | $136k | ↗ |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | DOOM | −180.5¢ | 19.5% | 2.3% | iran-nuclear | $135k | ↗ |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | MEX | −180.5¢ | 19.5% | 5.0% | us-iran-nuclear-deal | $135k | ↗ |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | CHLK | −14.2¢ | 95.9% | 15.0% | f1-2026-drivers | $125k | ↗ |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | DOOM | +19.4¢ | 9.4% | 4.1% | iran-nuclear | $120k | ↗ |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | MEX | +19.4¢ | 9.4% | 6.8% | iran-proliferation | $120k | ↗ |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | +184¢ | 84.0% | 1.6% | russia-ukraine | $118k | ↗ |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | PUTX | +184¢ | 84.0% | 13.2% | ukraine-territory | $118k | ↗ |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | CRYP | +149.3¢ | 49.3% | 4.9% | btc-price | $109k | ↗ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | −146¢ | 54.0% | 3.0% | russia-ukraine | $107k | ↗ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | DOOM | +123.5¢ | 23.5% | 2.5% | iran-regime | $105k | ↗ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | MEX | +123.5¢ | 23.5% | 4.1% | iran-regime | $105k | ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | DOOM | −181¢ | 19.0% | 1.9% | hormuz-shipping | $100k | ↗ |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | MEX | −181¢ | 19.0% | 4.4% | hormuz-blockade | $100k | ↗ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | DOOM | −116.5¢ | 83.5% | 1.9% | iran-nuclear | $99k | ↗ |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | MEX | −116.5¢ | 83.5% | 4.7% | iran-uranium | $99k | ↗ |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | DOOM | −168¢ | 32.0% | 2.3% | iran-nuclear | $96k | ↗ |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? | MEX | −168¢ | 32.0% | 5.0% | us-iran-nuclear-deal | $96k | ↗ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | DOOM | +112.5¢ | 12.5% | 4.6% | taiwan-conflict | $92k | ↗ |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | CRYP | +17.0¢ | 7.0% | 5.4% | btc-price | $92k | ↗ |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | CRYP | +13.0¢ | 3.0% | 5.1% | btc-price | $91k | ↗ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | CRYP | +116.5¢ | 16.5% | 4.8% | btc-price | $91k | ↗ |
| Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? | CHLK | −131.5¢ | 68.5% | 10.3% | wc-2026-winner | $88k | ↗ |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | DOOM | −115.5¢ | 84.5% | 2.1% | iran-nuclear | $86k | ↗ |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | DOOM | +118.5¢ | 18.5% | 4.1% | us-latam-escalation | $77k | ↗ |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | MEX | −139.5¢ | 60.5% | 5.0% | iran-uranium | $73k | ↗ |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | DOOM | +15.1¢ | 5.1% | 1.9% | nato-cohesion | $72k | ↗ |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | DOOM | +138.5¢ | 38.5% | 2.9% | us-latam-escalation | $72k | ↗ |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | CRYP | +16¢ | 6.0% | 13.7% | eth-price | $70k | ↗ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | DOOM | −141.5¢ | 58.5% | 2.1% | iran-nuclear | $69k | ↗ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | MEX | −141.5¢ | 58.5% | 5.3% | iran-uranium | $69k | ↗ |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | CRYP | −14.3¢ | 95.7% | 4.8% | btc-price | $68k | ↗ |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | MEX | −113.5¢ | 86.5% | 3.5% | israel-lebanon | $66k | ↗ |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | CRYP | +147¢ | 47.0% | 7.3% | regulation | $55k | ↗ |
| XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? | CRYP | +14.3¢ | 4.3% | 12.2% | xrp-price | $42k | ↗ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | AIX | +159¢ | 59.0% | 15.0% | anthropic-valuation | $40k | ↗ |
| US recession by end of 2026? | RECX | +116.5¢ | 16.5% | 20.0% | us-recession | $38k | ↗ |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI? | DOOM | +150.5¢ | 50.5% | 3.1% | pandemics | $37k | ↗ |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | CHLK | +128.5¢ | 28.5% | 15.0% | mlb-2026-ws | $37k | ↗ |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | CRYP | −14.3¢ | 95.8% | 11.3% | eth-price | $36k | ↗ |
| Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? | CRYP | +13.1¢ | 3.1% | 12.2% | sol-price | $35k | ↗ |
| New pandemic in 2026? | DOOM | +110.5¢ | 10.5% | 3.5% | pandemics | $33k | ↗ |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | DOOM | +110.5¢ | 10.5% | 3.2% | taiwan-conflict | $32k | ↗ |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | +16.2¢ | 6.2% | 4.1% | nato-russia | $32k | ↗ |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | GSPX | −150.5¢ | 49.5% | 14.3% | | $30k | ↗ |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | USIX | −150.5¢ | 49.5% | 25.0% | presidential-departure | $30k | ↗ |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | TRMP | −150.5¢ | 49.5% | 20.0% | trump-removal | $30k | ↗ |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | GSPX | −120.5¢ | 79.5% | 15.0% | merz-government | $29k | ↗ |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | MEX | −127¢ | 73.0% | 5.7% | iran-uranium | $29k | ↗ |
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | USIX | +196.3¢ | 96.3% | 25.0% | court-compliance | $27k | ↗ |
| SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? | TRMP | −196.3¢ | 3.8% | 20.0% | court-rulings | $27k | ↗ |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | +15.3¢ | 5.3% | 2.5% | nato-integrity | $24k | ↗ |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | GSPX | −144.5¢ | 55.5% | 15.0% | afd-elections | $24k | ↗ |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | MEX | −116.5¢ | 83.5% | 6.4% | israel-iran-relations | $23k | ↗ |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | DOOM | +17.5¢ | 7.5% | 4.1% | iran-nuclear | $23k | ↗ |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | MEX | +17.5¢ | 7.5% | 6.4% | iran-proliferation | $23k | ↗ |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | GSPX | −115.7¢ | 84.3% | 12.6% | afd-elections | $22k | ↗ |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | AIX | +153¢ | 53.0% | 11.8% | gpt-6-release | $22k | ↗ |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | ELON | +112.6¢ | 12.6% | 10.9% | spacex-launches | $21k | ↗ |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? | DOOM | +16.5¢ | 6.5% | 3.9% | taiwan-conflict | $21k | ↗ |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | DOOM | +116¢ | 16.0% | 4.1% | nato-russia | $20k | ↗ |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | WOKE | −17.5¢ | 92.5% | 15.0% | progressive-electoral-ascendancy | $20k | ↗ |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | PUTX | +19.5¢ | 9.5% | 15.0% | russia-ukraine-concessions | $18k | ↗ |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? | DOOM | +15.5¢ | 5.5% | 1.5% | | $17k | ↗ |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | GSPX | −186.5¢ | 13.5% | 13.8% | afd-elections | $16k | ↗ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | DOOM | +147.5¢ | 47.5% | 1.4% | iran-airspace | $16k | ↗ |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? | MEX | +147.5¢ | 47.5% | 4.0% | iran-airspace | $16k | ↗ |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | GSPX | −14.5¢ | 95.5% | 14.3% | | $16k | ↗ |
| Will Solana dip to $50 in June? | CRYP | −14.5¢ | 95.5% | 10.4% | sol-price | $15k | ↗ |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | ELON | +136.5¢ | 36.5% | 12.5% | musk-venture-mergers | $13k | ↗ |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | GSPX | −118.5¢ | 81.5% | 15.0% | merz-government | $13k | ↗ |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | USIX | −16.6¢ | 93.5% | 25.0% | denaturalization | $11k | ↗ |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | WOKE | −16.6¢ | 93.5% | 12.1% | mamdani-nyc | $11k | ↗ |
| Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | WOKE | +111¢ | 11.0% | 12.9% | nyc-mayoral-election | $10k | ↗ |
| Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+? | AIX | +16.7¢ | 6.7% | 11.4% | benchmark-arena | $10k | ↗ |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? | ELON | +173.5¢ | 73.5% | 12.5% | starship-milestones | $9k | ↗ |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? | USIX | −14.4¢ | 95.6% | 25.0% | fed-independence | $8k | ↗ |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | DOOM | +15.8¢ | 5.8% | 3.9% | pandemics | $8k | ↗ |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | TRMP | +115.9¢ | 15.9% | 20.0% | cabinet-departure | $7k | ↗ |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | AIX | +113¢ | 13.0% | 15.0% | agi-timelines | $7k | ↗ |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | AIX | −172.5¢ | 27.5% | 13.7% | arena-1550 | $7k | ↗ |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | AIX | +182¢ | 82.0% | 13.2% | gpt-6-release | $6k | ↗ |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | PUTX | +118¢ | 18.0% | 14.3% | ukraine-territory | $5k | ↗ |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%? | RECX | −10.7¢ | 99.3% | 20.0% | china-growth | $4k | ↗ |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | CRYP | −117.8¢ | 82.2% | 7.8% | altcoin-price | $4k | ↗ |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | DOOM | +14.5¢ | 4.5% | 1.6% | russia-ukraine | $4k | ↗ |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | PUTX | +14.5¢ | 4.5% | 13.2% | ukraine-territory | $4k | ↗ |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | ELON | +131.5¢ | 31.5% | 12.5% | starship-milestones | $3k | ↗ |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026? | AIX | +118.5¢ | 18.5% | 8.9% | gemini-pro-release | $3k | ↗ |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | ELON | −17.3¢ | 92.7% | 15.0% | tesla-leadership | $3k | ↗ |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | ELON | +116.5¢ | 16.5% | 15.0% | tesla-optimus | $2k | ↗ |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? | ELON | +19.5¢ | 9.5% | 11.7% | neuralink-valuation | $2k | ↗ |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | MEX | −117¢ | 83.0% | 6.0% | israel-hezbollah-conflict | $2k | ↗ |
| Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? | RECX | +15.5¢ | 5.5% | 20.0% | canada-unemployment | $953 | ↗ |
| Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | TRMP | −119¢ | 81.0% | 20.0% | cabinet-departure | $621 | ↗ |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31? | AIX | +169.5¢ | 69.5% | 10.9% | grok-4.4-release | $618 | ↗ |
| Grok 4.4 released by July 31? | ELON | +169.5¢ | 69.5% | 10.0% | xai-grok-release | $618 | ↗ |
| Japan recession in 2026? | RECX | +125.5¢ | 25.5% | 20.0% | global-recession | $396 | ↗ |
| UK Recession in 2026? | RECX | +145¢ | 45.0% | 20.0% | global-recession | $171 | ↗ |
